About
What Is College Golf Data?
College Golf Data is a data platform for NCAA college golf, built by two people who believe the sport deserves better tools and deeper coverage. The vision is something like what d1baseball.com built for college baseball - a genuine home for data, analysis, and historical context - but for golf.
We started with the S-curve regional prediction tool because it answers one of the most common questions in the sport every spring: “Where is my team going to regionals?” Coaches are fanatic about this, and nobody was providing an interactive version based on real data. But the S-curve is just the entry point. We are building toward a comprehensive platform with analytical tools, team season reports, schedule optimization, historical record books, and our own ranking system.
The free tools get eyes on the platform. The paid products - season reports, schedule analysis, record books - answer questions that coaches and programs actually spend money on. We are not a media outlet chasing pageviews. We are building data products for people who work in college golf.
How the S-Curve Works
The NCAA selects 81 teams for the Division I Men's Golf Championship (72 for women's), distributed across six regional sites. The selection committee uses a serpentine (S-curve) distribution to balance competitive strength: the top 6 seeds go to regionals 1 through 6, seeds 7-12 are assigned in reverse order (6 through 1), seeds 13-18 go forward again, and so on. This ensures no single regional is stacked with all the top-ranked teams.
Committee vs. Strict S-Curve
Our tool offers two modes. The Strict S-Curve is the pure mathematical serpentine - what a computer would output with no human judgment applied. The Committee Prediction replicates how the NCAA selection committee actually operates, with three key adjustments:
- Top-seed proximity: The committee assigns the top 6 seeds to whichever regional site is closest to them geographically, rather than following the strict serpentine order. This is why a team like Texas typically lands at the Bryan Regional, not wherever the math says.
- Host school guarantee: If a host school is in the field, they play at their home regional. The team that would have been placed there swaps with the host within the same seed tier.
- Auto-qualifier preference: Automatic qualifiers from smaller conferences (typically seeded around 12-13) usually get some geographic consideration. The committee avoids shipping them across the country when a closer regional is available.
You can toggle between these two modes on the predictions page to see how human judgment changes the regional assignments versus a pure mathematical approach. The differences tell you a lot about where the committee is likely to deviate from the numbers.
The Advancement Line
In the regional view, you will see a red dashed line between the 5th and 6th team in each regional. The top 5 teams from each regional advance to the NCAA Championship. This makes the matchups around that cutoff line the most interesting - those are the bubble teams where head-to-head records, course familiarity, and momentum matter most.
Why Geography Matters
Travel distance is one of the most underappreciated factors in regional performance. Teams that fly across the country face jet lag, unfamiliar course conditions, and altitude or climate changes. The NCAA selection committee considers geography when finalizing placements, but competitive balance takes priority. Our distance calculations and interactive travel map help fans and coaches see which teams drew favorable or unfavorable travel and how that might influence results.
What We're Building Next
The S-curve is just the beginning. Here is what is on the roadmap:
Weekly Ranking Snapshots
This monthTrack how S-curve predictions change each week as new NCAA rankings drop. See which tournaments shifted the picture.
Head-to-Head Records
Before regionalsWithin each predicted regional, see how the teams have performed against each other this season. Know who has the edge before the first tee.
Regional Previews
Before regionalsAutomated previews for each regional with course context, grass types, travel history, coaching milestones, and matchup analysis.
Live Advancement Tracker
During regionalsAs round-by-round scores come in, watch each team's probability of advancing update in real time.
SGT+ Metric
Summer 2026A contextual scoring metric that adjusts for field strength and conditions. A 70 at Southern Highlands is not the same as a 70 at a lighter-field invitational.
Schedule Analyzer
Fall 2026Help teams project what finishes they need in planned tournaments to hit their ranking targets and make regionals.
Conference Championships
Spring 2027The same interactive treatment we built for regionals, applied to every D1 conference championship.
Key Dates - 2026 Postseason
| Event | Date |
|---|---|
| Women's NCAA Selections | April 29 |
| Men's NCAA Selections | May 6 |
| Women's Regionals | May 11-13 |
| Women's Nationals | May 17-22 |
| Men's Regionals | May 18-20 |
| Men's Nationals | May 29 - June 3 |
The Team
Mikkel Bjerch-Andresen
Mikkel is a golf coach, data analyst, and former college golf coach with seven years on staff at Stephen F. Austin, Texas Tech, and Baylor. He played college golf at Baylor (2011-2015) and now coaches at WANG Toppidrett in Oslo while building data tools for the sport. He writes about coaching and analytics at mikkelgolf on Substack and built the automated @collegegolfdail daily briefing on X. Mikkel handles data infrastructure, web development, automation, and the technical pipeline from scraping through BigQuery to the live site.
David Tenneson
David is a college golf historian and analyst who has spent years manually assembling what is likely the most complete collection of NCAA Championship and Regional results in existence - pulling data from Golfstat, the Wayback Machine, and primary NCAA sources going back decades. He created @CollegeGolfBot on X and writes about selection methodology, rankings, and championship history at 5count4 on Substack. His deep knowledge of conference qualifying, committee tendencies, and historical precedent forms the analytical backbone of this project. David handles research, data verification, the S-curve methodology, and the SGT+ metric development.