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NCAA D1 Regional Predictions

2025–26

Official NCAA rankings from: May 6, 26

81 teams

Bubble Breakdown

Why teams are in or out · 81 teams in field

AWP = NCAA's Average Weighted Points (the underlying ranking score, weighted by field strength). ± .500 = wins minus losses. The teams ranked closest to the Magic Number are the bubble.

#Team+/−AWPRegional
Last 6 In
#62Houston+2137.44Bermuda Run
#63Southern Miss+9137.90Athens
#64Kentucky+2039.07Bermuda Run
#65Rice+137.93Athens
#66Oregon+337.85Columbus
#67St. Mary's (CA)+6636.79Marana
Magic Number · Field Cutoff
.500 Watch— ranked in field, excluded by .500 rule
#45Washington77-82-543.43B10
#49SMU69-79-1042.10ACC
First 6 Out
#68Washington State+2736.49WCC
#69Iowa State+2136.47B12
#70Coastal Carolina+4436.19SUNBELT
#71Marquette+1636.08BE
#72Elon+7835.81CAA
#73Minnesota+2335.85B10

5 sub-.500 AQs in field (below .500 but won conference auto-qualifier): Miami (OH), Howard, Navy, Arkansas-Pine Bluff, Presbyterian

Full D1 Breakdown

81 in the field · 230 below the cutline
SeedTeamRankW-L-T±.500
1Auburn#1187-23-2+164
1Florida#3152-23-3+129
1VirginiaAQ#4144-24-6+120
1Texas#2171-23-5+148
1Oklahoma StateAQ#5179-31-3+148
1Arkansas#8128-43-3+85
2LSU#7136-36-3+100
2North Carolina#9141-42-8+99
2Ole MissAQ#12123-56-3+67
2Arizona State#15125-77-2+48
2Illinois#17134-32-2+102
2Texas Tech#6133-40-3+93
3Vanderbilt#10137-36-3+101
3Stanford#13147-55-4+92
3PepperdineAQ#14126-74-3+52
3Tennessee#18121-47-8+74
3Arizona#11121-44-2+77
3Oklahoma#16126-71-2+55
4CharlotteAQ#20102-43-5+59
4Alabama#1999-54-2+45
4New Mexico#26134-39-3+95
4Long Beach StateAQ#24154-24+130
4Brigham Young#23147-62-3+85
4Georgia Tech#2598-62-9+36
5Florida State#30101-75-2+26
5Georgia#27113-87-3+26
5Southern California#29125-66-3+59
5Texas A&M#21139-73-4+66
5Duke#28114-58-4+56
5UCLAAQ#22127-72-7+55
6Notre Dame#32109-51-1+58
6Clemson#3198-62-3+36
6TCU#35109-67-6+42
6Wake Forest#33104-56-5+48
6Utah#36105-65-3+40
6Louisville#34101-71-2+30
7Kansas#39146-51-4+95
7South Carolina#4175-71-4+4
7Mississippi State#3799-69-1+30
7UNCWAQ#43105-39-1+66
7San Diego State#4492-80-3+12
7San Diego#38128-70-4+58
8Purdue#42102-82-3+20
8Arkansas StateAQ#40153-43-2+110
8UNLVAQ#4695-63-4+32
8Little RockAQ#53116-76-2+40
8California#4891-69-4+22
8Northwestern#50103-73-4+30
9Charleston#4795-48-3+47
9USF#54108-62-5+46
9NC State#5291-63+28
9Colorado#51146-66-4+80
9West Virginia#55111-78-1+33
9Georgia Southern#5985-54-7+31
10Oregon State#5799-77-2+22
10Florida Gulf CoastAQ#60123-52-3+71
10Cincinnati#61109-71-5+38
10Kentucky#6489-69+20
10Memphis#58119-71-6+48
10Rice#6582-81-6+1
11Southern Miss#63127-36+91
11Oregon#6686-83-4+3
11Houston#6295-74-1+21
11ChattanoogaAQ#5685-82-6+3
11St. Mary's (CA)#67132-66-5+66
11LibertyAQ#7490-67-2+23
12HarvardAQ#10553-32-1+21
12Tarleton StateAQ#11097-75-1+22
12Miami (OH)Sub-.500 AQ#11961-85-5-24
12RichmondAQ#122101-66-2+35
12XavierAQ#93142-39-2+103
12Illinois StateAQ#12487-73-7+14
13HowardSub-.500 AQ#19558-82-1-24
13Wright StateAQ#17177-65-5+12
13NavySub-.500 AQ#18855-83-3-28
13UTRGVAQ#13180-65-3+15
13North Dakota StateAQ#18181-72-1+9
13Sacramento StateAQ#14881-78-3+3
14IonaAQ#216106-55-5+51
14Arkansas-Pine BluffSub-.500 AQ#29528-52-3-24
14PresbyterianSub-.500 AQ#23043-88-1-45
Magic Number · Teams Below Did Not Qualify
—WashingtonSub-.500#4577-82-3-5
—SMUSub-.500#4969-79-3-10
—Washington State#6892-65-3+27
—Iowa State#6997-76-2+21
—Coastal Carolina#7089-45-3+44
—Marquette#7181-65-2+16
—Elon#72106-28-3+78
—Minnesota#7396-73-4+23
—Ohio State#7588-70-2+18
—South Alabama#7691-50-2+41
—Michigan State#7769-56-7+13
—Pacific#78101-80-1+21
—Stetson#79112-49-3+63
—Kansas State#8080-71-4+9
—Rutgers#8184-68-1+16
—Loyola MarymountSub-.500#8273-85-3-12
—Nebraska#83111-68-5+43
—UTEP#84104-69-7+35
—San Jose State#8586-84-1+2
—East Tennessee State#8676-74-2+2
—MichiganSub-.500#8772-73-3-1
—Grand CanyonSub-.500#8883-102-3-19
—MissouriSub-.500#8968-87-2-19
—IowaSub-.500#9058-84-3-26
—Santa ClaraSub-.500#9179-81-1-2
—Baylor#9279-73-2+6
—UCFSub-.500#9475-87-2-12
—North Texas#9584-62-6+22
—Princeton#9652-46-3+6
—UAB#9788-45-1+43
—Eastern MichiganSub-.500#9882-85-3-3
—MarylandSub-.500#9966-77-4-11
—IndianaSub-.500#10040-131-5-91
—New Mexico StateSub-.500#10167-81-4-14
—Campbell#10286-43-3+43
—UC San Diego#103118-40-4+78
—Nevada#104102-76-2+26
—AugustaSub-.500#10667-112-3-45
—Middle TennesseeSub-.500#10763-66-4-3
—Oral RobertsSub-.500#10875-81-6
—North Alabama#10999-59-3+40
—Penn StateSub-.500#11168-77-5-9
—UNCGSub-.500#11265-83-1-18
—Kennesaw StateSub-.500#11369-74-4-5
—Florida Atlantic#11480-77-2+3
—VCU#115109-59-1+50
—Southern Illinois#116111-76-1+35
—WisconsinSub-.500#11734-104-3-70
—FurmanSub-.500#11847-102-3-55
—James Madison#12093-63-4+30
—Lipscomb#12180-72-4+8
—Louisiana#12374-72-2+2
—Virginia TechSub-.500#12556-91-4-35
—Butler#126125-51-1+74
—Western Carolina#127111-46-1+65
—Texas StateSub-.500#12870-73-3-3
—Abilene Christian#12987-62-2+25
—North FloridaSub-.500#13046-126-2-80
—Boise State#13284-79-3+5
—Kent StateSub-.500#13340-75-5-35
—George Mason#13490-53-4+37
—UTSASub-.500#13566-73-7
—Rhode Island#136112-37-3+75
—Seattle#13784-61-2+23
—Connecticut#138100-60-2+40
—Idaho#13993-47+46
—Colorado StateSub-.500#14036-138-1-102
—Mercer#14179-70-3+9
—Northern IllinoisSub-.500#14242-98-2-56
—San FranciscoSub-.500#14349-99-4-50
—Loyola Maryland#14473-63-1+10
—California Baptist#145100-50-1+50
—Jax State#14686-59-2+27
—William & Mary#14792-58-1+34
—East Carolina#14992-53-2+39
—GonzagaSub-.500#15066-90-2-24
—Sam HoustonSub-.500#15144-103-4-59
—Cal PolySub-.500#15261-99-1-38
—WyomingSub-.500#15386-117-6-31
—Denver#15487-64-2+23
—Louisiana TechSub-.500#15537-113-3-76
—Western KentuckySub-.500#15668-87-1-19
—JacksonvilleSub-.500#15743-93-3-50
—Fresno StateSub-.500#15861-107-2-46
—Wichita State#15989-62-1+27
—ToledoSub-.500#16050-101-1-51
—TroySub-.500#16164-83-3-19
—Seton Hall#16282-58-3+24
—Georgetown#16373-44-3+29
—LamarSub-.500#16451-89-2-38
—UC DavisSub-.500#16561-125-64
—Georgia StateSub-.500#16676-80-5-4
—YaleSub-.500#16743-70-3-27
—Central Arkansas#16877-62-3+15
—Eastern Kentucky#16979-75-4+4
—WoffordSub-.500#17045-83-2-38
—Creighton#17268-56-5+12
—St. Thomas (MN)Sub-.500#17357-65-2-8
—UC Santa BarbaraSub-.500#17463-84-4-21
—Winthrop#17561-59-4+2
—George Washington#17672-64-2+8
—Villanova#17799-48-3+51
—Utah Tech#17867-60-3+7
—UT Martin#179107-52-2+55
—DelawareSub-.500#18063-66-3-3
—Appalachian StateSub-.500#18260-95-1-35
—South Dakota StateSub-.500#18373-89-2-16
—Boston CollegeSub-.500#18446-78-1-32
—St. John's#18583-55-1+28
—Drexel#18685-34-4+51
—ULMSub-.500#18742-96-1-54
—Ball StateSub-.500#18950-97-47
—Tennessee Tech#19099-50-2+49
—Longwood#19185-52-2+33
—DePaulSub-.500#19266-79-13
—South Dakota#19376-49+27
—Austin Peay StateSub-.500#19443-91-3-48
—DaytonSub-.500#19667-72-5-5
—Loyola-ChicagoSub-.500#19759-76-5-17
—East Texas A&M#19860-51-2+9
—Samford#19967-63-1+4
—Gardner-Webb#20067-66-2+1
—Kansas CitySub-.500#20149-63-2-14
—Utah ValleySub-.500#20257-100-3-43
—Long Island#20369-64-4+5
—HawaiiSub-.500#20439-118-6-79
—Fairfield#20586-30-3+56
—Weber State#20665-65-30
—Murray State#20797-61-2+36
—Oakland#20863-55-4+8
—Queens-CharlotteSub-.500#20949-63-4-14
—UT ArlingtonSub-.500#21027-138-1-111
—Houston ChristianSub-.500#21156-68-12
—SIU Edwardsville#21275-74-1+1
—Northern ColoradoSub-.500#21358-87-4-29
—DrakeSub-.500#21461-75-2-14
—CSU FullertonSub-.500#21546-122-2-76
—OmahaSub-.500#21766-77-1-11
—Utah StateSub-.500#21838-108-7-70
—High PointSub-.500#21936-70-1-34
—TowsonSub-.500#22048-64-16
—North DakotaSub-.500#22143-54-1-11
—CSU NorthridgeSub-.500#22255-126-1-71
—Army West PointSub-.500#22330-83-1-53
—OhioSub-.500#22442-78-5-36
—North Carolina A&T#22551-47-1+4
—Old DominionSub-.500#22645-91-1-46
—Eastern WashingtonSub-.500#22720-117-2-97
—PennSub-.500#22845-65-1-20
—RadfordSub-.500#22952-72-4-20
—Charleston SouthernSub-.500#23144-80-36
—USC UpstateSub-.500#23226-89-63
—SE Louisiana#23362-60-1+2
—Florida A&MSub-.500#23450-55-1-5
—Incarnate WordSub-.500#23537-91-2-54
—UC IrvineSub-.500#23631-141-1-110
—Lehigh#23761-45-3+16
—ColumbiaSub-.500#23859-67-5-8
—UC RiversideSub-.500#23923-115-4-92
—BelmontSub-.500#24064-93-8-29
—Morehead StateSub-.500#24165-69-2-4
—Saint Joseph's (PA)Sub-.500#24253-84-4-31
—FDU#24361-53-2+8
—SienaSub-.500#24458-69-5-11
—LaSalle#24566-58-7+8
—Lafayette CollegeSub-.500#24656-69-3-13
—Evansville#24756-44-4+12
—Francis MarionSub-.500#24827-104-1-77
—DavidsonSub-.500#24918-119-1-101
—New OrleansSub-.500#25042-77-2-35
—Purdue Fort WayneSub-.500#25160-85-5-25
—Bowling GreenSub-.500#25235-90-5-55
—Sacred HeartSub-.500#25360-73-4-13
—Cleveland StateSub-.500#25454-61-1-7
—West GeorgiaSub-.500#25544-113-69
—IU IndySub-.500#25657-73-16
—MarshallSub-.500#25733-88-8-55
—Central MichiganSub-.500#25835-110-3-75
—Green BaySub-.500#25944-48-1-4
—BradleySub-.500#26041-75-3-34
—Youngstown State#26164-64-20
—Southern UtahSub-.500#26229-134-1-105
—Air ForceSub-.500#26319-132-1-113
—Robert MorrisSub-.500#26445-87-3-42
—TempleSub-.500#26537-102-3-65
—LindenwoodSub-.500#26638-63-3-25
—ValparaisoSub-.500#26722-129-4-107
—BinghamtonSub-.500#26864-70-2-6
—BryantSub-.500#26954-67-3-13
—Holy Cross (MA)Sub-.500#27041-75-2-34
—ColgateSub-.500#27165-81-2-16
—Detroit MercySub-.500#27232-64-32
—DartmouthSub-.500#27344-77-1-33
—ProvidenceSub-.500#27424-92-1-68
—Northern KentuckySub-.500#27526-86-60
—NichollsSub-.500#27623-92-5-69
—Mount St. Mary'sSub-.500#27746-78-2-32
—BucknellSub-.500#27830-105-2-75
—St. BonaventureSub-.500#27947-85-38
—BellarmineSub-.500#28021-98-1-77
—FordhamSub-.500#28137-81-5-44
—New HavenSub-.500#28231-43-4-12
—Northern IowaSub-.500#28314-92-78
—CornellSub-.500#28417-79-3-62
—Western IllinoisSub-.500#28522-51-29
—Le MoyneSub-.500#28652-81-3-29
—Missouri StateSub-.500#28723-120-1-97
—ManhattanSub-.500#28856-76-2-20
—NiagaraSub-.500#28940-41-3-1
—Southern IndianaSub-.500#29020-114-2-94
—Prairie View A&MSub-.500#29126-64-1-38
—MonmouthSub-.500#29232-63-4-31
—Eastern IllinoisSub-.500#29317-77-3-60
—HofstraSub-.500#29421-54-2-33
—MercyhurstSub-.500#29618-52-4-34
—UMESSub-.500#29726-87-2-61
—Alabama StateSub-.500#29822-53-31
—RiderSub-.500#29916-85-3-69
—Alabama A&MSub-.500#30020-34-14
—Tennessee StateSub-.500#3017-63-2-56
—N. Carolina CentralSub-.500#30214-59-45
—MerrimackSub-.500#30311-67-1-56
—WagnerSub-.500#30412-54-1-42
—Texas SouthernSub-.500#30514-57-43
—Saint Peter'sSub-.500#3064-65-2-61
—CanisiusSub-.500#3077-103-1-96
—SouthernSub-.500#30810-49-1-39
—Chicago StateSub-.500#3097-71-2-64
—Saint FrancisSub-.500#3102-131-1-129
—Jackson StateSub-.500#3113-54-51