NCAA D1 Regional Predictions
Official NCAA rankings from: Oct 21, 2026
Official NCAA rankings from: Oct 21, 2026
AWP = NCAA's Average Weighted Points (the underlying ranking score, weighted by field strength). ± .500 = wins minus losses. The teams ranked closest to the Magic Number are the bubble.
3 sub-.500 AQs in field (below .500 but won conference auto-qualifier): Marquette, Little Rock, Florida A&M
| Seed | Team | Rank | W-L-T | ±.500 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oklahoma StateAQ | #1 | 32-10-2 | +22 | |||
| 1 | ArkansasAQ | #2 | 45-1-2 | +44 | |||
| 1 | Auburn | #3 | 43-2 | +41 | |||
| 1 | Florida | #4 | 43-5-1 | +38 | |||
| 1 | Texas Tech | #5 | 40-8-2 | +32 | |||
| 1 | Texas | #6 | 28-5-2 | +23 | |||
| 2 | East Tennessee StateAQ | #7 | 41-1-1 | +40 | |||
| 2 | Tennessee | #8 | 51-8-2 | +43 | |||
| 2 | Alabama | #9 | 40-15 | +25 | |||
| 2 | IllinoisAQ | #10 | 41-9-2 | +32 | |||
| 2 | New MexicoAQ | #11 | 39-4 | +35 | |||
| 2 | Georgia | #12 | 39-18-2 | +21 | |||
| 3 | Georgia TechAQ | #13 | 36-18 | +18 | |||
| 3 | Vanderbilt | #14 | 41-17-3 | +24 | |||
| 3 | North Carolina | #15 | 48-17-3 | +31 | |||
| 3 | Arizona State | #16 | 32-23-2 | +9 | |||
| 3 | Notre Dame | #17 | 45-18-1 | +27 | |||
| 3 | Kansas | #18 | 44-8-1 | +36 | |||
| 4 | Purdue | #19 | 32-17-1 | +15 | |||
| 4 | Wake Forest | #20 | 32-21 | +11 | |||
| 4 | Santa ClaraAQ | #21 | 31-6 | +25 | |||
| 4 | Oklahoma | #22 | 31-26-2 | +5 | |||
| 4 | South Carolina | #23 | 42-16-2 | +26 | |||
| 4 | LibertyAQ | #24 | 42-19 | +23 | |||
| 5 | Ohio State | #25 | 25-20-1 | +5 | |||
| 5 | Clemson | #26 | 28-20 | +8 | |||
| 5 | ToledoAQ | #27 | 42-12-2 | +30 | |||
| 5 | Texas A&M | #29 | 18-15 | +3 | |||
| 5 | Arkansas StateAQ | #30 | 51-7 | +44 | |||
| 5 | Washington | #31 | 25-4 | +21 | |||
| 6 | UNLV | #32 | 37-19 | +18 | |||
| 6 | Brigham Young | #33 | 22-5-2 | +17 | |||
| 6 | Southern California | #34 | 41-9-1 | +32 | |||
| 6 | TCU | #35 | 22-14-2 | +8 | |||
| 6 | UNCG | #37 | 38-8 | +30 | |||
| 6 | Colorado | #38 | 49-12-1 | +37 | |||
| 7 | CharlestonAQ | #39 | 23-13-1 | +10 | |||
| 7 | San Diego StateAQ | #40 | 20-15-1 | +5 | |||
| 7 | MemphisAQ | #41 | 47-11-2 | +36 | |||
| 7 | Mississippi State | #42 | 35-19-1 | +16 | |||
| 7 | Cincinnati | #43 | 43-15-2 | +28 | |||
| 7 | Georgia Southern | #44 | 39-16-1 | +23 | |||
| 8 | Rutgers | #45 | 41-16-1 | +25 | |||
| 8 | Michigan | #47 | 40-26-2 | +14 | |||
| 8 | Chattanooga | #48 | 50-21-1 | +29 | |||
| 8 | Charlotte | #52 | 24-21-2 | +3 | |||
| 8 | Duke | #56 | 26-20-1 | +6 | |||
| 8 | NC State | #57 | 37-23-1 | +14 | |||
| 9 | Eastern Michigan | #58 | 30-7-1 | +23 | |||
| 9 | New Mexico State | #61 | 34-15 | +19 | |||
| 9 | Long Beach StateAQ | #62 | 21-20 | +1 | |||
| 9 | Southern Miss | #63 | 37-17-1 | +20 | |||
| 9 | Minnesota | #64 | 40-31-3 | +9 | |||
| 9 | San Diego | #65 | 24-18 | +6 | |||
| 10 | MarquetteSub-.500 AQ | #66 | 28-31-3 | -3 | |||
| 10 | Little RockSub-.500 AQ | #67 | 22-23-1 | -1 | |||
| 10 | LipscombAQ | #69 | 56-11 | +45 | |||
| 10 | Rice | #70 | 24-8-1 | +16 | |||
| 10 | Coastal Carolina | #72 | 31-20-1 | +11 | |||
| 10 | UAB | #73 | 33-22 | +11 | |||
| 11 | St. Mary's (CA) | #74 | 36-6-1 | +30 | |||
| 11 | HarvardAQ | #77 | 26-11 | +15 | |||
| 11 | Kansas State | #78 | 27-8-3 | +19 | |||
| 11 | West Virginia | #79 | 34-15-3 | +19 | |||
| 11 | Maryland | #80 | 31-20-3 | +11 | |||
| 11 | Utah | #83 | 25-23-2 | +2 | |||
| 12 | Augusta | #84 | 26-23-1 | +3 | |||
| 12 | North Texas | #85 | 28-15 | +13 | |||
| 12 | St. Thomas (MN)AQ | #88 | 42-16 | +26 | |||
| 12 | Campbell | #89 | 53-16 | +37 | |||
| 12 | VCUAQ | #103 | 32-19-1 | +13 | |||
| 12 | Loyola MarylandAQ | #121 | 24-17-2 | +7 | |||
| 13 | UTRGVAQ | #125 | 30-22-1 | +8 | |||
| 13 | DrakeAQ | #139 | 30-24-1 | +6 | |||
| 13 | Eastern WashingtonAQ | #141 | 25-17-1 | +8 | |||
| 13 | FDUAQ | #157 | 52-18-1 | +34 | |||
| 13 | Purdue Fort WayneAQ | #169 | 43-11-2 | +32 | |||
| 13 | UT MartinAQ | #172 | 43-7-4 | +36 | |||
| 14 | High PointAQ | #174 | 38-17-1 | +21 | |||
| 14 | Florida A&MSub-.500 AQ | #191 | 12-23 | -11 | |||
| 14 | IonaAQ | #202 | 36-12-1 | +24 | |||
| Magic Number · Teams Below Did Not Qualify | |||||||
| — | LSUSub-.500 | #28 | 29-30-1 | -1 | |||
| — | PepperdineSub-.500 | #36 | 19-32-2 | -13 | |||
| — | UCLASub-.500 | #46 | 19-32-1 | -13 | |||
| — | Ole MissSub-.500 | #49 | 24-32-1 | -8 | |||
| — | Florida StateSub-.500 | #50 | 16-23 | -7 | |||
| — | CaliforniaSub-.500 | #51 | 17-19 | -2 | |||
| — | StanfordSub-.500 | #53 | 26-27-1 | -1 | |||
| — | Michigan StateSub-.500 | #54 | 28-32-2 | -4 | |||
| — | NorthwesternSub-.500 | #55 | 23-31 | -8 | |||
| — | Loyola MarymountSub-.500 | #59 | 18-26-1 | -8 | |||
| — | MissouriSub-.500 | #60 | 22-28-2 | -6 | |||
| — | KentuckySub-.500 | #68 | 30-42-2 | -12 | |||
| — | ArizonaSub-.500 | #71 | 7-21-1 | -14 | |||
| — | IndianaSub-.500 | #75 | 27-37-3 | -10 | |||
| — | USFSub-.500 | #76 | 19-26-2 | -7 | |||
| — | IowaSub-.500 | #81 | 23-32-2 | -9 | |||
| — | BaylorSub-.500 | #82 | 17-25-3 | -8 | |||
| — | North FloridaSub-.500 | #86 | 13-24-1 | -11 | |||
| — | Grand CanyonSub-.500 | #87 | 19-20 | -1 | |||
| — | Pacific | #90 | 41-17-1 | +24 | |||
| — | VirginiaSub-.500 | #91 | 8-36-1 | -28 | |||
| — | Penn State | #92 | 34-34-1 | 0 | |||
| — | LouisvilleSub-.500 | #93 | 21-51-1 | -30 | |||
| — | Florida Atlantic | #94 | 29-23-1 | +6 | |||
| — | Oregon | #95 | 17-5 | +12 | |||
| — | Sam Houston | #96 | 30-12-1 | +18 | |||
| — | Virginia Tech | #97 | 29-26-1 | +3 | |||
| — | Nevada | #98 | 25-8 | +17 | |||
| — | Stetson | #99 | 32-16-2 | +16 | |||
| — | San Francisco | #100 | 42-5 | +37 | |||
| — | Elon | #101 | 47-13 | +34 | |||
| — | South Dakota State | #102 | 53-12-1 | +41 | |||
| — | Troy | #104 | 47-13-2 | +34 | |||
| — | Wisconsin | #105 | 37-24-1 | +13 | |||
| — | Cal PolySub-.500 | #106 | 11-14-1 | -3 | |||
| — | Washington State | #107 | 27-21-1 | +6 | |||
| — | Denver | #108 | 47-17-1 | +30 | |||
| — | Western Kentucky | #109 | 48-19-3 | +29 | |||
| — | Butler | #110 | 42-7-1 | +35 | |||
| — | Iowa StateSub-.500 | #111 | 16-31-1 | -15 | |||
| — | UNCW | #112 | 39-23-2 | +16 | |||
| — | Oral RobertsSub-.500 | #113 | 16-32-1 | -16 | |||
| — | Ball State | #114 | 47-13-1 | +34 | |||
| — | PrincetonSub-.500 | #115 | 14-19 | -5 | |||
| — | XavierSub-.500 | #116 | 22-35 | -13 | |||
| — | South Dakota | #117 | 51-16-1 | +35 | |||
| — | South Alabama | #118 | 24-15-1 | +9 | |||
| — | UTEPSub-.500 | #119 | 30-38-3 | -8 | |||
| — | Colorado StateSub-.500 | #120 | 24-30 | -6 | |||
| — | Louisiana Tech | #122 | 26-21-2 | +5 | |||
| — | UCFSub-.500 | #123 | 21-32-2 | -11 | |||
| — | UTSA | #124 | 27-23-1 | +4 | |||
| — | Northern IllinoisSub-.500 | #126 | 37-39-2 | -2 | |||
| — | Seton Hall | #127 | 48-12 | +36 | |||
| — | FurmanSub-.500 | #128 | 20-45-2 | -25 | |||
| — | Florida Gulf CoastSub-.500 | #129 | 16-26 | -10 | |||
| — | Kansas City | #130 | 32-22-1 | +10 | |||
| — | James MadisonSub-.500 | #131 | 23-24-3 | -1 | |||
| — | ULM | #132 | 25-22-4 | +3 | |||
| — | Richmond | #133 | 26-20-2 | +6 | |||
| — | Miami (OH)Sub-.500 | #134 | 36-38-1 | -2 | |||
| — | TulsaSub-.500 | #135 | 12-27-2 | -15 | |||
| — | William & Mary | #136 | 31-7-2 | +24 | |||
| — | Dayton | #137 | 39-19-3 | +20 | |||
| — | Boise State | #138 | 30-23 | +7 | |||
| — | UC DavisSub-.500 | #140 | 22-38-2 | -16 | |||
| — | Kennesaw StateSub-.500 | #142 | 24-29-1 | -5 | |||
| — | Mercer | #143 | 23-16-4 | +7 | |||
| — | Austin Peay StateSub-.500 | #144 | 21-23-1 | -2 | |||
| — | SMUSub-.500 | #145 | 7-27 | -20 | |||
| — | Abilene ChristianSub-.500 | #146 | 14-23-1 | -9 | |||
| — | WoffordSub-.500 | #147 | 20-34-1 | -14 | |||
| — | UC Santa BarbaraSub-.500 | #148 | 27-35-1 | -8 | |||
| — | Utah State | #149 | 31-27-1 | +4 | |||
| — | Utah ValleySub-.500 | #150 | 30-35 | -5 | |||
| — | Oregon StateSub-.500 | #151 | 17-19-1 | -2 | |||
| — | SeattleSub-.500 | #152 | 23-26-1 | -3 | |||
| — | CSU Fullerton | #153 | 20-20-3 | 0 | |||
| — | Northern ColoradoSub-.500 | #154 | 24-32 | -8 | |||
| — | Western Carolina | #155 | 37-31 | +6 | |||
| — | St. John's | #156 | 33-12 | +21 | |||
| — | George MasonSub-.500 | #158 | 19-22-1 | -3 | |||
| — | HoustonSub-.500 | #159 | 3-9 | -6 | |||
| — | Rhode IslandSub-.500 | #160 | 26-27 | -1 | |||
| — | Georgetown | #161 | 33-14-1 | +19 | |||
| — | Davidson | #162 | 29-16-2 | +13 | |||
| — | Kent StateSub-.500 | #163 | 3-34-1 | -31 | |||
| — | West Florida | #164 | 26-23-2 | +3 | |||
| — | UT Arlington | #165 | 17-15-1 | +2 | |||
| — | East Carolina | #166 | 24-12-3 | +12 | |||
| — | Middle TennesseeSub-.500 | #167 | 12-23 | -11 | |||
| — | Fresno StateSub-.500 | #168 | 12-30-2 | -18 | |||
| — | Jax StateSub-.500 | #170 | 26-36-5 | -10 | |||
| — | DePaulSub-.500 | #171 | 12-22 | -10 | |||
| — | Illinois StateSub-.500 | #173 | 29-36-3 | -7 | |||
| — | North Dakota State | #175 | 35-31-2 | +4 | |||
| — | Sacramento StateSub-.500 | #176 | 17-25-1 | -8 | |||
| — | NebraskaSub-.500 | #177 | 6-54 | -48 | |||
| — | North Dakota | #178 | 29-29-1 | 0 | |||
| — | Boston College | #179 | 23-20 | +3 | |||
| — | Central Arkansas | #180 | 32-24 | +8 | |||
| — | Bryant | #181 | 39-16-1 | +23 | |||
| — | Appalachian StateSub-.500 | #182 | 23-50 | -27 | |||
| — | JacksonvilleSub-.500 | #183 | 16-37-1 | -21 | |||
| — | Green Bay | #184 | 30-23-2 | +7 | |||
| — | Radford | #185 | 37-31 | +6 | |||
| — | Utah TechSub-.500 | #186 | 20-28-1 | -8 | |||
| — | Belmont | #187 | 27-25-1 | +2 | |||
| — | Incarnate Word | #188 | 21-20-1 | +1 | |||
| — | George Washington | #189 | 28-26-2 | +2 | |||
| — | Yale | #190 | 22-22-1 | 0 | |||
| — | LouisianaSub-.500 | #192 | 19-42-2 | -23 | |||
| — | Southern IllinoisSub-.500 | #193 | 16-38-1 | -22 | |||
| — | LamarSub-.500 | #194 | 21-29-1 | -8 | |||
| — | Tarleton StateSub-.500 | #195 | 14-36 | -22 | |||
| — | WyomingSub-.500 | #196 | 20-36 | -16 | |||
| — | Texas StateSub-.500 | #197 | 20-27-1 | -7 | |||
| — | OmahaSub-.500 | #198 | 26-43 | -17 | |||
| — | San Jose StateSub-.500 | #199 | 8-32 | -24 | |||
| — | Air ForceSub-.500 | #200 | 14-31 | -17 | |||
| — | WinthropSub-.500 | #201 | 11-42-2 | -31 | |||
| — | North AlabamaSub-.500 | #203 | 4-46-2 | -42 | |||
| — | Marshall | #204 | 33-24-1 | +9 | |||
| — | OhioSub-.500 | #205 | 17-40 | -23 | |||
| — | PresbyterianSub-.500 | #206 | 33-35 | -2 | |||
| — | Dartmouth | #207 | 33-13-1 | +20 | |||
| — | Sacred HeartSub-.500 | #208 | 25-27 | -2 | |||
| — | CSU NorthridgeSub-.500 | #209 | 14-31 | -17 | |||
| — | Long Island | #210 | 38-22-1 | +16 | |||
| — | Old Dominion | #211 | 26-21-6 | +5 | |||
| — | East Texas A&MSub-.500 | #212 | 13-24-2 | -11 | |||
| — | Towson | #213 | 26-24-1 | +2 | |||
| — | Georgia State | #214 | 32-26-2 | +6 | |||
| — | UC San DiegoSub-.500 | #215 | 13-35-1 | -22 | |||
| — | HowardSub-.500 | #216 | 16-25-1 | -9 | |||
| — | Saint Joseph's (PA) | #217 | 23-16-1 | +7 | |||
| — | UC IrvineSub-.500 | #218 | 9-34 | -25 | |||
| — | Wright StateSub-.500 | #219 | 29-36 | -7 | |||
| — | ConnecticutSub-.500 | #220 | 25-44 | -19 | |||
| — | North Carolina A&T | #221 | 19-19-1 | 0 | |||
| — | USC UpstateSub-.500 | #222 | 13-14 | -1 | |||
| — | Murray State | #223 | 31-28 | +3 | |||
| — | OaklandSub-.500 | #224 | 16-47-1 | -31 | |||
| — | Tennessee TechSub-.500 | #225 | 23-28-4 | -5 | |||
| — | GonzagaSub-.500 | #226 | 7-21 | -14 | |||
| — | CreightonSub-.500 | #227 | 17-22 | -5 | |||
| — | SamfordSub-.500 | #228 | 20-23 | -3 | |||
| — | DrexelSub-.500 | #229 | 15-25 | -10 | |||
| — | IdahoSub-.500 | #230 | 18-40 | -22 | |||
| — | NichollsSub-.500 | #231 | 20-26-1 | -6 | |||
| — | Columbia | #232 | 25-19-1 | +6 | |||
| — | Bowling GreenSub-.500 | #233 | 18-39-2 | -21 | |||
| — | Eastern KentuckySub-.500 | #234 | 27-29 | -2 | |||
| — | Delaware | #235 | 27-22-1 | +5 | |||
| — | Charleston SouthernSub-.500 | #236 | 18-22 | -4 | |||
| — | Holy Cross (MA) | #237 | 36-25-1 | +11 | |||
| — | Bradley | #238 | 28-23 | +5 | |||
| — | Colgate | #239 | 41-12-2 | +29 | |||
| — | LindenwoodSub-.500 | #240 | 24-34-2 | -10 | |||
| — | Lehigh | #241 | 26-12 | +14 | |||
| — | IU IndySub-.500 | #242 | 25-27-1 | -2 | |||
| — | Western Illinois | #243 | 23-17 | +6 | |||
| — | Youngstown State | #244 | 35-24 | +11 | |||
| — | PennSub-.500 | #245 | 9-16 | -7 | |||
| — | SE LouisianaSub-.500 | #246 | 20-22 | -2 | |||
| — | Gardner-WebbSub-.500 | #247 | 20-30 | -10 | |||
| — | Houston ChristianSub-.500 | #248 | 11-33-1 | -22 | |||
| — | LaSalle | #249 | 29-18-2 | +11 | |||
| — | Missouri StateSub-.500 | #250 | 22-32 | -10 | |||
| — | SienaSub-.500 | #251 | 24-25-1 | -1 | |||
| — | TempleSub-.500 | #252 | 14-24 | -10 | |||
| — | ProvidenceSub-.500 | #253 | 23-35 | -12 | |||
| — | Southern IndianaSub-.500 | #254 | 20-27-2 | -7 | |||
| — | FairfieldSub-.500 | #255 | 21-31 | -10 | |||
| — | ValparaisoSub-.500 | #256 | 21-45 | -24 | |||
| — | St. Bonaventure | #257 | 31-20 | +11 | |||
| — | Morehead StateSub-.500 | #258 | 23-25 | -2 | |||
| — | SIU EdwardsvilleSub-.500 | #259 | 23-38-1 | -15 | |||
| — | NavySub-.500 | #260 | 18-20 | -2 | |||
| — | HawaiiSub-.500 | #261 | 2-20-1 | -18 | |||
| — | BellarmineSub-.500 | #262 | 29-43 | -14 | |||
| — | Loyola-ChicagoSub-.500 | #263 | 19-40 | -21 | |||
| — | Weber StateSub-.500 | #264 | 11-40 | -29 | |||
| — | VillanovaSub-.500 | #265 | 27-30-1 | -3 | |||
| — | UC RiversideSub-.500 | #266 | 4-24 | -20 | |||
| — | West GeorgiaSub-.500 | #267 | 11-54 | -43 | |||
| — | Southern UtahSub-.500 | #268 | 14-41 | -27 | |||
| — | MerrimackSub-.500 | #269 | 12-33-1 | -21 | |||
| — | New Haven | #270 | 19-18-2 | +1 | |||
| — | BucknellSub-.500 | #271 | 31-33-1 | -2 | |||
| — | LongwoodSub-.500 | #272 | 9-41 | -32 | |||
| — | Lafayette CollegeSub-.500 | #273 | 20-39-1 | -19 | |||
| — | Francis MarionSub-.500 | #274 | 6-55-1 | -49 | |||
| — | Cleveland StateSub-.500 | #275 | 8-50-1 | -42 | |||
| — | Robert MorrisSub-.500 | #276 | 20-46-1 | -26 | |||
| — | ManhattanSub-.500 | #277 | 26-29-1 | -3 | |||
| — | CornellSub-.500 | #278 | 16-42-1 | -26 | |||
| — | Monmouth | #279 | 20-20-1 | 0 | |||
| — | Central MichiganSub-.500 | #280 | 11-28-1 | -17 | |||
| — | Le MoyneSub-.500 | #281 | 25-43-1 | -18 | |||
| — | BinghamtonSub-.500 | #282 | 16-37-1 | -21 | |||
| — | Detroit MercySub-.500 | #283 | 12-31 | -19 | |||
| — | CanisiusSub-.500 | #284 | 18-31-2 | -13 | |||
| — | Northern KentuckySub-.500 | #285 | 6-39-1 | -33 | |||
| — | Queens-CharlotteSub-.500 | #286 | 5-47 | -42 | |||
| — | N. Carolina CentralSub-.500 | #287 | 10-25-1 | -15 | |||
| — | FordhamSub-.500 | #288 | 9-40-1 | -31 | |||
| — | Northern IowaSub-.500 | #289 | 13-57 | -44 | |||
| — | Prairie View A&MSub-.500 | #290 | 6-12 | -6 | |||
| — | RiderSub-.500 | #291 | 15-26-1 | -11 | |||
| — | New OrleansSub-.500 | #292 | 8-39 | -31 | |||
| — | UMESSub-.500 | #293 | 6-49-1 | -43 | |||
| — | Alabama A&MSub-.500 | #294 | 5-26 | -21 | |||
| — | EvansvilleSub-.500 | #295 | 9-47-1 | -38 | |||
| — | MercyhurstSub-.500 | #296 | 10-31-1 | -21 | |||
| — | Chicago StateSub-.500 | #297 | 5-30-1 | -25 | |||
| — | HofstraSub-.500 | #298 | 5-43 | -38 | |||
| — | Texas SouthernSub-.500 | #299 | 6-18 | -12 | |||
| — | BrownSub-.500 | #300 | 2-41 | -39 | |||
| — | Arkansas-Pine BluffSub-.500 | #301 | 11-29-1 | -18 | |||
| — | Mount St. Mary'sSub-.500 | #302 | 3-52 | -49 | |||
| — | NiagaraSub-.500 | #303 | 7-45 | -38 | |||
| — | Eastern IllinoisSub-.500 | #304 | 5-54 | -49 | |||
| — | SouthernSub-.500 | #305 | 8-9 | -1 | |||
| — | Saint Peter'sSub-.500 | #306 | 0-30 | -30 | |||
| — | Jackson StateSub-.500 | #307 | 3-8 | -5 | |||
| — | Coppin StateSub-.500 | #308 | 1-20 | -19 | |||
| — | WagnerSub-.500 | #309 | 3-30 | -27 | |||
| — | Alabama StateSub-.500 | #310 | 1-14 | -13 | |||
| — | Tennessee StateSub-.500 | #311 | 1-44 | -43 | |||
| — | Army West PointSub-.500 | #100000 | 2-10 | -8 | |||